tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35360257.post4826809199792044455..comments2024-01-25T07:53:27.067-05:00Comments on Thinking Space: Pay you to Live Search, brilliant?Yihong Dinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08410466834942147505noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35360257.post-69356060842550985782008-05-26T16:45:00.000-04:002008-05-26T16:45:00.000-04:00Hi Utopiah,Thank you for all the questions and I t...Hi Utopiah,<BR/><BR/>Thank you for all the questions and I think they are very interesting. I am not sure whether I could answer all of them. But I will try to lay my thoughts down so that you may find something interesting inside.<BR/><BR/>First, I am not sure how to evaluate the speed of Web evolution. You may have already watched my series of Web evolution. I have a pretty nice thoughts on how the Web may evolve. But the velocity of evolution, it is too hard to answer. But one thing I am sure. With the direction of correct theory, the speed of Web evolution could be accelerated. <BR/><BR/>In particular, if you are specifically interested in my thought of the timetable towards Web 3.0, I can tell you that we may come to Web 3.0 in about 5 years from now. By my theory, I think that 2008 and 2009 will still be the flourishing time of Web 2.0. <BR/><BR/>From one side, the accumulation of Web-2.0-quality resources is still at its beginning and far away from being serious troubled. On the other side, the speed of the accumulation of Web-2.0-quality resources is much more faster than what happens before the previous dot-com bubble because of the popularization of social networking. Hence we may not need to have three to four years preparation to reach the next transitional point. <BR/><BR/>From next year (2009) the issue of new WebROM will start to be a critical one. In fact, I foresee the current project about Data Portability is an attempt to the solution though most of the current discussion issues are still away from the real target. <BR/><BR/>But this is my predication. If the new WebROM cannot be built and successfully advertised in the realm of Web industry, we may have to experience the second dot-com bubble at about the year 2011. <BR/><BR/>In general, I don't know whether the Web has edge. ;-) In fact, many great systems do not have edge (e.g., our universe or the human society). I watch the Web is such a complex system that every node could be at the edge and at the same time at the center. <BR/><BR/>The term "edge" with respect to the Web is a comparative term. Inside the Web we may have small ecosystems that serves for special interest. For them, they may have edges. But to the entire Web, I cannot say it has edge.<BR/><BR/>I believe that it is alway good if a system can rapidly foster innovation and adopt new functionalities. We may experience a few failure in progress. But in a large democratic system as the Web, failure would not be too expensive for us to take. <BR/><BR/>YihongYihong Dinghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08410466834942147505noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35360257.post-61714692674232834732008-05-25T10:52:00.000-04:002008-05-25T10:52:00.000-04:00Let's get crazy. I also think buying users with co...Let's get crazy. I also think buying users with coupons instead of having them beg to use your product for its useful features is ... not a viable strategy.<BR/><BR/><BR/><BR/>Anyway as I said let's get crazy, it is much more interesting than trying to help Microsoft or any corporation anyway ;)<BR/><BR/>Let me reformulate my very shallow understanding of your work : <BR/>Your hypothesis is that the web as the subpart of the Internet is the most advance part as it holds the fastest evolving components. <BR/>Could you please develop on how it is possible to measure the speed of evolution ?<BR/>Is the fitness based on social utility (thus usability) ? Is it based on anything else ?<BR/>Can you consider that there is an "edge" to the web, an edge as in the most advance and the fastest evolving elements ? If yes where is the bleeding edge and can you locate it ? <BR/>Could having an automated mechanism to perpetualy know where the edge is give an advantage to someone desiring to evolve in this system ?<BR/>Is it positive for the system too in the sense that it foster innovation and the fastest adoption of the new functionalities ?<BR/><BR/>Sincerely,<BR/>a (maybe crazy) bleeding edge seeker ;)Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-35360257.post-74039010952547852262008-05-25T10:48:00.000-04:002008-05-25T10:48:00.000-04:00This comment has been removed by the author.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com